Mogadishu turns inward as federal troops and opposition militias trade fire over a contested term extension, even while Turkey, Egypt, and Kenya keep courting a state whose writ barely reaches past the capital.

PF Score

Authority

Reach

Somalia·11

Migration
Trajectory
Profile
Dependencies
Relationships
Situation
Activity
Footing

WarmingCoolingStable

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Score Trajectory

PF Score

Overall

11▼1

Authority

Armed clashes in the capital expose a government with little control.

Reach

Outside courtship offsets isolation from Washington's travel ban and Somaliland's overtures.

Power Profile

Grip at Home: 13 out of 100
Weight: 39 out of 100
Regard: 46 out of 100
Outward Power: 10 out of 100
Growth: 71 out of 100

Dependency Quadrant

Mixed posture: 2 dependents, 2 exposures.

2Dependents2Exposures

Top 6 Snapshots3to10

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Active Conflicts

Somalia Al-Shabaab InsurgencyWar

AfricaInsurgency

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Strategic Profile

Authority

Authority footing

Fragile Institutions

Reach

Logistics capacity

Limited Logistics

Vulnerability

Defense spending trend

45%

Rearming

Mobilization mode

Closed autocracy

Fiscal capacity

Low Capacity

-1

Government effectiveness

Weak Governance

Population base

Large Population

19M

Trade openness

Open Trade

130%

Economic scale

Limited Economy

$12B

Capital openness

Open Capital

Debt service pressure

Low Exposure

Defense burden

Light Burden

Debt load

Low Exposure

15%

Defense spending / person

Low Priority

$10

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PF Score