Assessments

A standing read on every scored actor. Revised when the picture moves, not on a schedule.

Poland

The Missile That Drew Only Statements

Declining

PF 54EuropeRead assessment

Declining · Europe · August 13, 2026

Poland: The Missile That Drew Only Statements

Warsaw built Europe's most serious army while the guarantee behind it answered Russian strikes with words.

PF 54Read assessment View actor profile

Actor assessments

Aug 13, 2026

Poland: The Missile That Drew Only Statements

Read assessmentPF 54

Aug 6, 2026

Spain: The Border Held but Europe Didn't

PF 53

Aug 3, 2026

Saudi Arabia: The Hedge That Failed

PF 55

Jun 19, 2026

Cuba: Selling Location While the Lights Go Out

PF 17

Jun 11, 2026

Germany: The Weight Arrives Before the Muscle

PF 69

Jun 8, 2026

Israel: The Army That Cannot Close

PF 56

Jun 8, 2026

Ukraine: The Upper Hand It Cannot Afford

PF 43

May 27, 2026

Iran: The toll authority emerges

PF 17

May 21, 2026

Venezuela: The Hollow State on Washington's Lease

PF 12

May 17, 2026

Qatar: The Mediator Inside the Crossfire

PF 26

May 15, 2026

United States: The Pole That Cannot Convert

PF 75

May 15, 2026

China: The Patient Hand at a Distracted Table

PF 65

May 15, 2026

Russia: A Stronger Hand Abroad Than at Home

PF 47

May 14, 2026

Mali: The Generals Who Lost the Country

PF 11

May 13, 2026

Turkey: The Broker Who Won't Be Bound

PF 35

May 13, 2026

UAE: The Hub State Becomes a Front-Line State

PF 27

May 9, 2026

India: Bengal Won While the Neighborhood Drifts

PF 38

Apr 20, 2026

France: Sovereign Assets Coalition Limits

PF 58

Apr 18, 2026

Japan: Building Reach Within Constraints

PF 74

Apr 14, 2026

Pakistan: Mediation Gains Structural Limits

PF 51

Conflict assessments

Aug 7, 2026

NATO Eastern Flank Hybrid War: The rear becomes the front

Aug 2, 2026

Iraq-Iran Influence Competition: The Ground Everyone Strikes Through

Jul 3, 2026

Global Sanctions and Economic Warfare: The Weapon That Builds Its Own Rival

Jun 17, 2026

Russia-NATO Confrontation: A Harder Wall on Softer Ground

Jun 11, 2026

Global Jihadist Network: A Perfect Strike on Borrowed Time

Jun 10, 2026

US-China Strategic Competition: The Thaw Is the Cover

Jun 8, 2026

NATO Eastern Flank Hybrid War: The war beneath the threshold

May 27, 2026

Global Cyber Warfare: The first war no one declared