CooperativeCooling has the upper hand. Ceasefires, talks, and reopened trade outweigh new friction.0 to 37 · 30 days since March 2026SettledThe world's baseline. Standing conflicts grind on without a new surge.38 to 52 · 96 days since March 2026StrainedEscalation is outrunning the cooling. The system is heating.53 to 65 · 71 days since March 2026SevereMajor escalation on several fronts at once. The rare top of the scale.66 to 100 · 15 days since March 2026
A quiet window. No signed events in the past 3 days.
Peak · Sep 12 · 76Trough · Apr 11 · 28
MarAprMayJunJulAugSep
CooperativeSettledStrainedSevere
Sep 28
35CooperativeToday
No signed events this day. The reading carried over.