Global tension

43Higher than 16% of days since March 2026
CooperativeSettledStrainedSevere

North Korea Conducts Second Ballistic Missile Test in a Week.

Aug 14

43SettledToday

No signed events this day. The reading carried over.

Time in each band

Cooperative7 days · 4%
Settled91 days · 54%
Strained61 days · 37%
Severe8 days · 5%

The number is computed, not judged. Each event is labeled by its effect on interstate conflict, raising or lowering, and the reading follows fixed weights: escalation registers instantly, cooling is capped so the trace remembers, and quiet drifts it down. No model sets the number. The series starts March 2026.

How PowerFlow scores the world