Asmara deepens its Egypt axis and proxy alignment against Ethiopia, gaining marginal regional weight from a maritime pact and counter-bloc as Addis Ababa's sea-access drive sharpens the rivalry.

PF Score

Authority

Reach

Eritrea·8

Migration
Trajectory
Profile
Dependencies
Relationships
Situation
Activity
Footing

Score Trajectory

PF Score

Overall

8▲1

Asmara deepens its Egypt axis and proxy alignment against Ethiopia, gaining marginal regional weight from a maritime pact and counter-bloc as Addis Ababa's sea-access drive sharpens the rivalry.

Authority

Internal control unchanged, the regime steady behind its closed mobilization.

Reach

The consolidating Egypt partnership and anti-Ethiopia proxy network widen its slim footprint.

Power Profile

Grip at Home: 12 out of 100
Weight: 22 out of 100
Regard: 54 out of 100
Outward Power: 6 out of 100
Growth: 69 out of 100

Dependency Quadrant

Mixed posture: 2 dependents, 1 exposures.

2Dependents1Exposures

Top 3 Snapshots3to13

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Active Conflicts

Ethiopian Civil WarWar

AfricaCivil War

Ethiopia-Eritrea StandoffWar

AfricaFrozen Conflict

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Strategic Profile

Authority

Authority footing

Fragile Institutions

Reach

Logistics capacity

Limited Logistics

Vulnerability

Defense burden

21%

Heavy Burden

Mobilization mode

Closed autocracy

Fiscal capacity

Low Capacity

-0

Government effectiveness

Weak Governance

Population base

Smaller Population

Trade openness

Closed Trade

47%

Economic scale

Small Economy

$2B

Capital openness

Mixed Capital

Debt service pressure

Low Exposure

Defense spending / person

Mid Priority

$75

Energy position

Import Exposed

35%

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WarmingCoolingStable

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PF Score