Authority
Authority footing
38
Weak InstitutionsAddis Ababa is squeezed on both ends: the Tigray peace deal is unraveling as the TPLF installs its own president, while Hormuz-driven fuel and fertilizer shocks compound an already fragile fiscal position.
PF Score
18
Authority
36
Reach
9
Dependency Quadrant·Ethiopia
Authority
38
Weak InstitutionsReach
132M
Large PopulationVulnerability
-50%
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Overall
18▲3Addis Ababa is squeezed on both ends: the Tigray peace deal is unraveling as the TPLF installs its own president, while Hormuz-driven fuel and fertilizer shocks compound an already fragile fiscal position.
Authority
Federal writ frays as Tigray rejects Pretoria and reinstalls its own leadership.
Reach
Chinese trade and digital ties deepen, partially offsetting Red Sea exposure and regional isolation.
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