Authority
Authority footing
20
Fragile InstitutionsSouth Sudan sits among the world's weakest states, with the ruling center narrowing elite politics ahead of December 2026 elections while the peace settlement frays and Washington tightens conditions on aid.
PF Score
15
Authority
30
Reach
8
Dependency Quadrant·South Sudan
Authority
20
Fragile InstitutionsReach
$12B
Small EconomyVulnerability
351%
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Riek Machar
leader of the SPLM-IO and has served as First Vice-President of South Sudan
Salva Kiir
President of South Sudan
Overall
15▲1South Sudan sits among the world's weakest states, with the ruling center narrowing elite politics ahead of December 2026 elections while the peace settlement frays and Washington tightens conditions on aid.
Authority
Grip is thinning as Machar's detention and ceasefire violations corrode the power-sharing order.
Reach
External footprint is minimal, with US conditionality narrowing what little leverage Juba retains.
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