War / Africa
Ethiopian Civil War
Federal drone strikes on Mekelle and a deadlocked multi-front insurgency push Ethiopia toward renewed full-scale war.
Cameroon
The Cameroon Anglophone Crisis is a civil war between the government of President Paul Biya and armed separatists fighting for an independent state they call Ambazonia.
It traces back to 1961, when British Southern Cameroons joined French-speaking Cameroun in a federation, and to 1972, when that federation was scrapped and the English-speaking northwest and southwest were absorbed into a French-dominated unitary state. Lawyer and teacher strikes in 2016 against the imposition of French law and French-speaking judges met live ammunition. By October 2017, separatists had declared independence and taken up arms. No state sponsors the rebels. Diaspora networks in the UK, US, and Germany fund them, while France quietly backs Biya.
The war has displaced over 700,000 people and barely registers outside Cameroon, a colonial-era language line still drawing blood six decades after independence.
Biya's return from Geneva in late August closed the immediate succession spectacle without resolving the structural exposure beneath it.
He came back without naming a vice president despite a constitutional amendment passed specifically to address the vacancy, leaving any transition to run through a loyalist-stacked Constitutional Council and an acting Senate president whose health investors have already flagged.
Weekly net escalation pressure, last 90 days
Succession risk has not closed with Biya's return: the vice presidency remains vacant four months after a constitutional amendment was passed specifically to fill it.
Captain Effoudou's public accusations from inside the presidential security apparatus represent a qualitatively different internal threat to Yaoundé than diaspora or opposition pressure.
Separatist coercive reach in the Northwest is holding at a durable stalemate: ransom kidnappings, student killings, and soldier attacks all occurred within the review window.
No major external state sponsors. Diaspora funding (UK, US, Germany) for Ambazonian government-in-exile. France provides political backing for Biya government (Françafrique relationship).
Nigeria
porous border enables supplies, but official policy supports Cameroon's territorial integrity.
War / Africa
Federal drone strikes on Mekelle and a deadlocked multi-front insurgency push Ethiopia toward renewed full-scale war.
War / Africa
Sudan's army fights on across Khartoum while a chlorine munitions dossier and a US embargo push reshape the conflict's accountability.
Ambazonian government-in-exile (diaspora, UK/US/Germany): provides political legitimacy framing and fundraising for armed factions operating inside Cameroon.
Ambazonia Defense Forces (ADF) and splinter armed groups: loosely coordinated ground combatants sustained by diaspora remittances and local coercive taxation.
Nigerian border networks: porous Cross River and Benue state boundaries enable informal supply flows and fighter movement.