War / Africa
Ethiopian Civil War
Pretoria is dead, Abiy holds a supermajority, and three simultaneous insurgencies now face an Eritrea-Egypt external axis.
The Cameroon Anglophone Crisis is a civil war between the government of President Paul Biya and armed separatists fighting for an independent state they call Ambazonia.
It traces back to 1961, when British Southern Cameroons joined French-speaking Cameroun in a federation, and to 1972, when that federation was scrapped and the English-speaking northwest and southwest were absorbed into a French-dominated unitary state. Lawyer and teacher strikes in 2016 against the imposition of French law and French-speaking judges met live ammunition. By October 2017, separatists had declared independence and taken up arms. No state sponsors the rebels. Diaspora networks in the UK, US, and Germany fund them, while France quietly backs Biya.
The war has displaced over 700,000 people and barely registers outside Cameroon, a colonial-era language line still drawing blood six decades after independence.
The June 2026 incursion of over 200 Cameroonian soldiers into Danare, Cross River State, the fourth such crossing on record, is the clearest recent phase signal: the conflict's bilateral dimension is hardening, not stabilizing.
Inside the Anglophone regions, separatist factions continue to operate freely, killing soldiers and students, kidnapping highway travelers for ransom, and enforcing coercive authority over civilian life with no sign of degraded capacity.
Biya's appointed deputy presidency converts the conflict's political stalemate into a structural one: the regime no longer faces an electoral succession scenario that might incentivize a negotiated settlement.
Repeated Cameroonian military incursions into Cross River State, now numbering at least four, expose a sovereignty gap along the Bakassi-era inland boundary that Nigeria has not moved to close.
Ambazonian government-in-exile (diaspora, UK/US/Germany): provides political legitimacy framing and fundraising for armed factions operating inside Cameroon.
Ambazonia Defense Forces (ADF) and splinter armed groups: loosely coordinated ground combatants sustained by diaspora remittances and local coercive taxation.
Nigerian border networks: porous Cross River and Benue state boundaries enable informal supply flows and fighter movement without official Nigerian state.
No major external state sponsors. Diaspora funding (UK, US, Germany) for Ambazonian government-in-exile. France provides political backing for Biya government (Françafrique relationship).
Nigeria
porous border enables supplies, but official policy supports Cameroon's territorial integrity.
War / Africa
Pretoria is dead, Abiy holds a supermajority, and three simultaneous insurgencies now face an Eritrea-Egypt external axis.
War / Africa
RSF masses on El Obeid as the US warns of imminent massacre and the RSF's parallel state consolidates across western.