Authority
Authority footing
34
Fragile InstitutionsTehran is making its hold on Hormuz a permanent toll, building leverage its battlefield losses understate.
PF Score
44
Authority
45
Reach
43
Overall
44▲3Tehran claws back ground as a US oil-sales waiver and a lopsided framework deliver cash, asset release, and reconstruction pledges, though degraded military sites and a hollowed proxy network cap the recovery.
Authority
Regime finances steadier as sanctions relief shores up its hard-currency footing.
Reach
External leverage recovering on restored oil revenue and chokepoint bargaining.
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Authority
34
Fragile InstitutionsReach
$475B
Global ScaleVulnerability
-32%
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Conflict assessments